July 2024 General Election

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July 2024 General Election
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All 11 seats in the House of Commons
6 seats needed for a majority
Registered31
Turnout87.10% (Increase 25.04 pp)
  First party Second party
 
JosiDPMKnightstone2.png
KathrineGrey.png
Leader The Baroness Wilton The Countess of Argyll
Party Unionist Party Liberal-Progressive Action Party
Leader since 27 June 2024 9 June 2024
Leader's seat Tavistock Na h-Eileanan an Iar
Last election 5 seats, 59.5% Did not contest
Seats won 5 1
Seat change Steady Increase 1
Popular vote 121 27
Percentage 52.8% 11.8%
Swing Decrease 6.7 pp

  Third party
 
CharlesWright.jpg
Leader Sir Charles Wright
Party British Workers' Party
Leader since 28 June 2024
Leader's seat Orkney and Shetland
Last election Did not contest
Seats won 1
Seat change Increase 1
Popular vote 18
Percentage 7.9%

PM before election

Lord Knightstone
Unionist Party

PM after election

Lady Wilton
Unionist Party

The July 2024 General Election was held from 26 June 2024 to 1 July 2024 with 31 eligible voters to elect an unnamed number of seats to the House of Commons. It will be the third election under the electoral system known as the Romefeller Method adopted by the Representation of the People Act 2024. [1] The governing Unionist Party, led by Josephine Carew-Grey, 1st Baroness Wilton, lost their parliamentary majority but maintained their plurality, due to the record-breaking number of candidates on the ballot.

With the deadline for a general election coming up, Thomas Carew, Viscount Sidmouth, Prime Minister of Great Britain, advised the King on the schedule of the General Election. His announcement that he intended to not continue as Leader of the Unionist Party, caused a great amount of pre-election interest, with opinion polling showing a firm lead for the Unionist Party. However, the last poll, concluded just hours before voting started, indicated that the sheer number of candidates would prevent an outright majority for the governing party.

On 26 June 2024, King Charles III ordered the Dissolution of the 32nd Parliament of Great Britain and called for a new parliament to take its place. [2] The next day, registration opened to candidates, which fourteen total registering and campaigning beginning. [3] On 29 June 2024, registration closed and the next day polling opened. [4] Polling ended on 1 July 2024. [5]

The Unionists won 5 seats, the same as the last election, having stood 7 candidates. The Liberal-Progressives won 1 seats, having stood 2 candidates. The British Workers' won 1 seat, having stood 1 candidate. 4 Independents won a seat, with 4 having stood.

Background

The results of the May 2024 General Election are given below, alongside the numbers in the House of Commons at dissolution. [6] Seat counts changed through 1 by-election and 0 defections and suspensions of members from their party that took place throughout the 32nd Session of Parliament. [7] There were no vacant seats at dissolution.

Affiliation Members
Elected
May 2024
At Dissolution
July 2024
Difference
Unionist Party 5 5 Steady
Labour Party 1 0 Decrease 1
Independent 2 2 Steady
Vacant 0 0 Steady
Total 8 8 Steady

In the leadup to the General Election, the Leadership of the Unionist Party changed hands from Thomas Carew, Baron Knightstone, the incumbent Prime Minister of Great Britain and Josephine Carew-Grey, 1st Baroness Wilton, the incumbent Deputy Prime Minister. [8] Lord Knightstone stated, "I believe that I have the strength, resolve, and knowledge to succeed in being Prime Minister for two full terms. I also believe that the very same strength and resolve I have is telling me that two is enough." Carew-Grey became Leader-Elect on 28 May 2024 and officially assumed the leadership on 27 June 2024, when Parliament was dissolved.

The cobwebs of His Majesty's Government are being blown away and the sickness is being healed, as a breath of new life and invigoration has been blown into the executive of the constitution of our Imperial Family. In the coming weeks, the Unionist Party vows to continue the good work of government, while also working on our platform for the next election. In that platform, our ethos will be to level UP the Empire of Great Britain and build upon the sturdy foundation which we have all come to rely.

— Lady Knightstone, "Statement from the Leader-Elect of the Unionist Party", 28 May 2024 [9]

On 28 May 2024, the British Federation of Labour was revived by Kathrine Grey, 1st Countess of Argyll, who also became the Leader of the Party and the Old Socialist Group. [10] In this reformation, she brought with her a modern brainwave: factionalism, which would become a significant item during the Pre-Election period. In the party's first press release, Lady Argyll, stated, "This federalist approach to a political party has not been seen in the Empire in its political history, and aims to create a more representative an united experience." After taking umbrage with Nicholas Carew, 1st Baron Plymouth calling the party socialist in a BBC interview, the Old Socialist Faction was renamed to the Progressive Bloc. [11]

"Well, as I grow tired of accusations of holding a political view as if I’m going to usher in the Great Famine and slaughter all the rich people tomorrow, It’s time for a little rebranding. The OSP is now going to be the Progressive Bloc, to more accurately portray its views instead of eating fistfulls of “you’re a pinko Commie” by detractors and supporters alike."

— Lady Argyll, "Pot to Kettle: Nomenclatures of Parties and their Effects, but only if you’re Left", 4 June 2024

Four days later, on 8 June 2024, Lady Argyll retracted the statement, saying, "It [was] an overreaction, one I am deeply sorry for, as it casts viewpoints on this community that are not had." [12] This retraction was followed by the retirement of the British Federation of Labour and the formation of the Liberal-Progressive Action Party on 9 June 2024.[13]

The Liberal-Progressive Action Party stands as a party in the Empire seeking to defend the individual rights of citizens, the maintenance and acceleration of our accepting culture, the protection of queer and marginalized people from the ills of NationStates, a healthy mental health awareness and a society dedicated to self-care, and a continued development of our national prosperity through legalism, peaceful action, and communication between all people. We stand to ensure that the Empire sees its continual rise into Frontier status, and becomes the shining beacon upon the hill that much of NationStates can follow into an era of acceptance and peace.

— Lady Argyll, "Out With the Old, and In with the New", 9 June 2024

In a statement from Unionist Headquarters, on 9 June 2024, Lady Knightstone released a statement on "The Neutrality of the Royal Style" [14] in response to the King's statement on exempting Princes of Great Britain who serve in the House of Lords from political neutrality in certain mandated spaces. [15] The Party Leader said, "This change is a win for the democracy, transparency, and health of our parliamentary institutions. As a Member of Parliament, I look forward to working with Their Royal Highnesses within Parliament on a more equitable footing." In another statement, on 22 June 2024, Lady Wilton announced the proposed members of cabinet. [16]

Electoral System

General elections in the Empire of Great Britain are organised using the Romefeller Method, as established by the Representation of the People Act 2024. In this system, there are no set number of seats up for election, with any candidate getting over 50% approval returned to Westminster. So far, under this system, no candidate has failed to be returned to Parliament, each having at least the confidence of half the electorate.

Date of the Election

According the Parliament Act 2024, the latest date the election could have been was 7 July 2024, 9 weeks after the State Opening of the 32nd Parliament of Great Britain. [17] On 17 June 2024, King Charles III announced the date of the election as 1 July 2024 and established the timetable in accordance with the law. [18]

Over the next thirteen days, you will undoubtedly hear from many great Britons fighting for your vote and your trust as we prepare to elect the members of the 33rd Parliament of Great Britain. As they do so, do not hesitate to push them on their plans, ask questions, engage in debate, and thoroughly engage with the many platforms you will see. You, the British public, are the beating heart and soul of this region and now, the choice for the future is returned to you, and lies in your hands.

— Charles III, "Onto the General Election", 17 June 2024

Timetable

Date Day Event
17 June Monday Announcement of a General Election
27 June Thursday Issuance of the Writ of Election and Opening of the Registration Period
29 June Saturday Closure of the Registration Period, Deadline for Campaign Publication, Start of the Campaign Period, and Dissolution of Parliament
30 June Sunday Conclusion of the Campaign Period and Opening of Election Ballot
1 July Monday Closure of the Election Ballot & Publication of Results, and Opening of Runoff Ballot (if needed)
2 July Tuesday Closure of the Runoff Ballot & Publication of Results

Campaign

Official campaigning started on 27 June 2024, when registration was opened to candidates. [19] It ended on 30 July 2024, when polling was opened. The period saw fourteen candidates stand in Hustings under the aegis of the Unionist Party, Liberal-Progressive Action Party, British Workers' Party, and as Independent. While pre-election polling indicated a clear Unionist majority, the record-breaking number of candidates made it unclear of who the winner would be when polling closed.

Unionist Party

The Unionist Party published a platform with their motto of "The Only Way is UP!". In her opening speech, "A Spoonful of Sugar", the Leader of the Unionist Party, Lady Wilton proclaimed, "I would like to declare before you all our determination and willingness to not only continue the good work started this past March, but to bring new and fresh ideas to the table as well." [20] The party issued the following proposed Cabinet.

Office Candidate
Prime Minister of Great Britain
First Lord of the Treasury
Josephine Carew-Grey, 1st Baroness Wilton
Deputy Prime Minister
Secretary of State for Justice
James Forsyte, 1st Duke of Warwick
First Secretary of State
Secretary of State for Air
August Carew-Grey, 1st Baron Calder
Secretary of State for the Cabinet Office
Leader of the House of Commons
Thomas Carew, Viscount Sidmouth
Chancellor of the Exchequer
Second Lord of the Treasury
William Somerset, 2nd Viscount Douglas
Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs
Chief Whip of His Majesty's Government
Owain Carew-Grey, Lord Knightstone
Secretary of State for the Home Office Sir Charles Wright
Secretary of State for Levelling Up Sirch Somerset, Marquess of Lorne
Secretary of State for Culture, Media, and Sport Noel de Carteret

It also announced the repeal and replace of Order-in-Council 070 to facilitate the new Cabinet positions and how they interrelate with each other. The Prime Minister directs the Deputy Prime Minister and First Secretary, who oversees the other departments, while the Cabinet Office and Levelling Up Ministry assist the Prime Minister directly. To facilitate these new departments, 12 Downing Street, 50 Queen Anne's Gate, and Whitehall Gardens are proposed to be added. Overall, the platform focused on a series of measured changes and reforms with significant agendas in His Majesty's Treasury, the Foreign Office, Home Office, and Justice Ministry.

Liberal-Progressive Action Party

The Liberal-Progressive Action Party published a platform with a slogan of "A Global Britain, Shining Bright!". [21] The platform designated their party as the alternative to the Unionists, stating, "For far too long, the left of center has been seen in this region as the negative option, with a host of conservative-appearing and cautious hands controlling the ship of state onward." The party issued the following proposed Cabinet.

Office Candidate
Prime Minister of Great Britain
First Lord of the Treasury
Kathrine Grey, 1st Countess of Argyll
Deputy Prime Minister James R. Kennedy, 1st Baron Scarborough
Secretary of State for the Home Office Sir James Stephenson
Secretary of State for the Foreign Office William Somerset, 2nd Viscount Douglas
Chancellor of the Exchequer Nicholas Burke
Secretary of State for Defence August Carew-Grey, 1st Baron Calder
Secretary of State for Justice Sir Charles Wright

The platform focused on publishing the "Progress Plan", drafting a bevy of legislation focused on transitioning the region to a Frontier, regulating the regional economy, and regional integration.

British Workers' Party

In a surprise turn of events, the British Workers' Party was reformed by Sirch Somerset, Marquess of Lorne (formerly of the Unionists) and Sir Charles Wright late on 28 June 2024. While Wright was set to become a Member of the House of Lords in the next session, he "came to the conclusion that some of [his] views are too political in nature and so is [his] desire to express them." [22] The party issued a platform shortly after with the slogan of "Prosperity for All: Access to Wealth, Land, and Means of Production". [23] This campaign focused on both executive and parliamentary agendas, but endorsed Josephine Carew-Grey, 1st Baroness Wilton to be Prime Minister of Great Britain, stating, "I am honoured to formally endorse the Right Honourable Lady Wilton for the office of Prime Minister of the Empire of Great Britain. While we do not always align in our vision for the Empire, I do believe that she has the most experienced and qualified prospective Cabinet, and has shown herself a dedicated and committed Member of Parliament and of His Majesty's Government in the past term."

Media Coverage

Pre-Election

The pre-election period of media coverage started on 29 May 2024 when the British Broadcasting Corporation interviewed Kathrine Grey, 1st Countess of Argyll on the reformation of the British Federation of Labour. It ended on 27 June 2024 with the official campaign period opening. The most active point of this period saw several articles and polls being posted within the span of a few days just before and during the Prorogation of the 32nd Session of Parliament. Additionally, some have commented that this was most active period for media in the history of the Empire of Great Britain.

Media coverage during this period mainly focused on the election of Lady Knightstone as Leader of the Unionist Party and the reformation of the British Federation of Labour with its introduction of the factionalism system.

The Iron Lady Returns (Herald-Monocle)

In an article from the Queenstown Herald-Monocle, "Iron Lady Returns", Prince Victor, Duke of York under the pseudonym of Sig Vomerset, reported, "Longtime Whitehall and Westminster Stalwart Josephine Carew-Grey, Baroness Knightstone, has been elected leader of the Unionist Party at the party's convention at the Grand Hotel in Brighton." [24] The article uniquely noted the Heron Party as the predecessors to the Unionist Party and that they "have held the reins of power in Whitehall longer than" any party or coalition since the British Workers' Party, who found their demise after the Premiership of Sir Joshua Sherwood. No other party has elected more than three (3) consecutive or cumulative Prime Ministers in the history of the Empire.

Interview with the Party Leader of the British Federation of Labour (BBC)

Charles H. Wright, hosting for the British Broadcasting Corporation, interviewed Lady Argyll after the British Federation of Labour was revived. The pair discussed "the party's goals and policies, and discuss how they plan to address the pressing issues facing our nation today." [25] Importantly, Lady Argyll stated that the catalyst for her reforming the party was the advent of the Unionist Party, saying "the result is nearly a single party state" and the need for "a left-wing voice in the empire". This interview also outlined major issues for the Federalists, as they intended to see "the Safe Haven Act pass, frontier status being placed front and center of our region's focus, a flourishing foreign affairs, and a strong Royal Air Force".

Old Friends or New Foes? (The Independent)

In "Old Friends or New Foes? The Titans Return To Battle for Number Ten", William Somerset, 2nd Viscount Douglas interviewed both Lady Argyll and Lady Knightstone, with "a set of individually tailored questions to the two prospective candidates, designed to shed light on the most pertinent matters that surround their parties." Lady Knightstone's interview focused on the Unionists' policy plans and the role of the government in the Empire, while Lady Argyll's focused on factionalism, the Federation's history, and the political landscape of the Empire.

The Observer expressed doubt in the Unionist candidacy saying, "the question remains regarding the effects of natural engagement tendencies. Has the recent improvement been as a result of executive action, or a natural increase in overall engagement at this time of year? More importantly, will the executive prowess and ambition of Lady Knightstone be enough to maintain activity through the dreaded ‘summer slump’?" [26] Meanwhile, the article praised Lady Argyll, writing, "Perhaps this level of personal analysis is just what we need in Downing Street, a new party in leadership might just be the breath of fresh air that will really get the Empire on its feet again."

An Evaluation of the British Federation of Labour Faction System (The Observer)

The Observer latched onto the modern brainwave of factionalism in an article written by August Carew-Grey, 1st Baron Calder under the pseudonym of Ricardo Politikos. The article praised the new system saying, "This system represents a new outlook on factions, as instead of denying and repressing them it seeks to regulate and encourage it." [27] Lord Calder, who is also a member of the party, argued for the Unionists to adopt this system as it would "make the party system more dynamic, representative and fun."

Interview with the Baron and Baroness Knightstone (BBC)

At their country estate Chatsworth House, Lord and Lady Knightstone were interviewed by BBC Host Charles H. Wright. The interview focused on the dynamics of a marriage in politics, especially as Carew-Grey strikes out on her own in her premiership bid. Lady Knightstone's candidacy, policy and leadership styles, Lord Knightstone's achievements and future plans, Carew-Grey's workload and management, and the Unionist Party Conference and election plans, were also talked about. Importantly, the interview addressed Lady Argyll's comments that the Unionists had created a ''monolithic single-party state''.

I believe there is a measure of merit to Lady Argyll’s words, though I believe their magniloquence might overshadow the truth. I don’t believe Lord Knightstone and I ever thought the Unionist Party would be as successful as it has been thus far. We certainly never had the intention to create a “one-party state”, nor have we gone out of our way to recruit members. I believe the message of the Unionists has spoken for itself and we have found support because of its appeal. Honest hard work in the service of the British people with an optimistic flair.

— Lady Knightstone, "Interview with the Baron and Baroness Knightstone", 31 May 2024

Later that day, Argyll released a statement in response from BFL Headquarters. [28] The press release addressed the factors behind the creation of the Unionist Party, stipulating that the British Liberal Party and the Heron Party had effectively merged, even if it was not done so formally. It also pointed out the difference between the lead up to the May 2024 General Election and July's, where before unity was desired and now opposition is. The statement concluded with Lady Argyll saying, "I have largely forgiven and forgot the events leading up to the Unionist Party. Sometimes, it does still get to me, but I know it wasn’t done in malice. However, there are still ramifications, and this essay seeks to explore them."

Interview with the Independent Members of Parliament (BBC)

On 4 June 2024, BBC Host Charles H. Wright sat down for an interview with Nicholas Carew, 1st Baron Plymouth and James Forsyte, 1st Duke of Warwick who were Independent Members of Parliament during the 32nd Parliament of Great Britain. [29] The interview covered why they ran as independents, the importance of a minority presence in Parliament, the advantages and disadvantages of being independent, and their future plans. Notably, Warwick announced that he would be joining the Unionist Party at the end of the parliamentary session.

British Federation of Labour Claims Unfair Labelling (BBC)

In an article released by BBC Parliament, the organisation reported on a statement released by the Press Office of the British Federation of Labour. [30] The statement came on the heels of a BBC Interview with Independent Members of Parliament, where Nicholas Carew, 1st Baron Plymouth had said the the party was socialist and was the reason he decided not to join. The BBC noted, "The other registered party, the Unionist Party, has not commented on the statements released by the Federation of Labour. Which, according to the Party Leader, does accept communists into it's numbers, and seems not to be advocating for the abolishment of what they believe to be a socialist economy. "

Political Parties Prepare for Elections Midway Through The Term (BBC)

Reporting for BBC Parliament, Sir Charles H. Wright wrote an article detailing the rebranding of the British Federation of Labour and additions to the Unionist Frontbench Team. [31] The article noted that the change of the name and logo of the Liberal-Progressive Action Party came after Lord Plymouth called the federation "socialist". Additionally, the article reported on the end of the Unionist party conference, where August Carew-Grey, 1st Baron Calder was selected to succeed Josephine Carew-Grey, Baroness Knightstone as Chair of the Unionist Party, as well as the creation of the position of Chief Whip of the Unionist Party of which Sir Owain Carew-Grey was selected to serve.

The LPAP, New Energy or More of the Same? (The Observer)

August Carew-Grey, 1st Baron Calder, writing under the alias of Ricardo Politikos, published an article on 14 June 2024, "The LPAP, new energy or more of the same? An evaluation of policy and party". [32] The long expose analysed the Liberal-Progressive Action Party, the first to talk about it after its formation, and its recent essays on the Frontier and the Safe Haven Doctrine. They concluded that, "the LPAP has the potential to be a strong, cooperative and critical opposition but with the odds stacked against them the Observer does not believe they are likely to win dominance" and they "should focus on being a strong opposition and spend more time working on potential policies and recruitment in the next term."

Unionist PM-Designate the Baroness Wilton Announces Prospective Cabinet (BBC)

On 22 June 2024, The Baroness Wilton announced her prospective cabinet in a statement from Unionist Party Headquarters. [33] This was reported on by Sir Charles Wright for the BBC, dubbing the list as a "A Reunion of Former Prime Ministers". [34] The article noted that six out of nine members would have previously served as Prime Minister: James Forsyte, 1st Duke of Warwick, Sirch Somerset, Marquess of Lorne, William Somerset, 2nd Viscount Douglas, Thomas Carew, Viscount Sidmouth, August Carew-Grey, 1st Baron Calder, and Sir Charles Wright. It also remarked on the return of the First Secretary of State and the Secretary of State for Culture, Media, and Sport, with Secretary of State for the Cabinet Office, Secretary of State for Levelling Up, and Secretary of State for Air being brand new roles.

Beyond Party Lines (The Times)

In an article to The Times, The Baroness Wilton argued for what she called "extra-party factionalism". [35] She critiqued the factionalism within the British political landscape, particularly within the Liberal-Progressive Action Party, arguing that "making factions under the aegis of a political party engendered the idea of a party within a party" and undermined cohesion. She reflected on her earlier work, "Charting the Political Landscape," which categorized factions academically. Wilton proposed a more organic system, where "people come together on their own accord and parties are founded on sincere belief, not mere political expediency." This approach, she suggested, would enable individuals to join parties without fear of exclusion and allow for the formation of coalitions among ideologically similar groups, maintaining the integrity of political institutions.

It also noted that it was the prelude to "a forthcoming article called, 'The Progressive Conservative Framework', which will explain the ideology and philosophy behind Lady Wilton's beliefs, The Times, and the newly-founded Carlton Club."

The Progressive Conservative Framework (The Times)

A few hours after "Beyond Party Lines" was published, The Baroness Wilton published another article in The Times, inspired by Lady Argyll's essay, "A Safe Haven in a Storm." [36] Introducing the Progressive Conservative Framework, she aimed to blend progressive and conservative beliefs, emphasizing respect, self-improvement, meaningful tradition, and thoughtful change. Politically, she supported a balanced power structure with a protective Crown, active government, cooperative Parliament, and impartial judiciary. She also endorsed a strong foreign affairs strategy and an economy focused on citizen engagement, viewing families as key cultural support systems. The framework was a starting point for evolving ideas beyond traditional party lines.

Mid-Election

Bulldog Cartoon

Cartoon by the Bulldog shows the political class crunching the numbers in order to predict the number of candidates likely to be elected.

Midway through voting on the afternoon of the 1st July the Bulldog released a cartoon showing British citizens crunching the numbers in order to determine the likely number of candidates that would reach the 50% threshold for election. This mirrors real life events on the regional discord which utilized both the calculations of citizens and ChatGPT.

Post-Election

Debates

BBC All Candidates Debate:

On the 29th June the BBC began a debate involving all General Election candidates which took place on the regional forum[37]. Sir Charles Wright acted a moderator and opted to not answer qeustions despite being a candidate for the BWP. The format involved 1 qeustion every 4 hours with each candidate given 1 chance to respond to each qeustion. Rebuttal and discussion between candidates was permitted

Qeustions:
  1. Who are you, why are you running for the House of Commons, and what do you believe is the biggest problem the Empire faces today?
  2. [Break overnight, questions resumed on the morning of the 30th]
  3. How will you address recruitment and retention, both on-site and off-site?
  4. How do you view the current state of the economy and it's legislation? And what reform do you belief is necessary, if any?

BBC PM Candidates Debate:

On the 30th June the BBC began a debate between the two likely candidates to be PM, Josephine Carew-Grey, 1st Baroness Wilton and Kathrine Grey, 1st Countess of Argyll. The debate took place on the regional discord in a live format. with Marquess Lorne acting as the moderator. Rebuttal and discussion between candidates was permitted with the exception of the first and final qeustions which acted as opening and closing remarks respectivly.

Qeustions:
  1. You are a Prime Ministerial candidate in this election, can you tell the citizenry why anyone should vote for you in particular?
  2. In the past couple of months our nation count has decreased massively and RMB activity is next to nothing. How will you deal with this issue ?
July 2024 United Kingdom General Election Debates
Date Broadcaster Host Format Venue Territory  P  Present  I  Invited  S  Surrogate  NI  Not invited  A  Absent  N  No debate
Unionist Liberal-Progressive British Workers' Burke Evans-Jones Stephenson Wright
29 June
-
present
BBC Lord Huntingdon Parliamentary
Debate
Broadcasting House
Portland Place
W1A 1AA
England P
Candidates
P
Candidates
NI
Host
P
Himself
P
Himself
P
Himself
P
Himself
30 June
-
present
BBC Lord Lorne Prime Ministerial
Debate
Broadcasting House
Portland Place
W1A 1AA
England P
Wilton
P
Argyll
NI
Host
NI NI NI NI

Candidates

Candidate Party Constituency Previous Constituency Votes (%)
Josephine Carew-Grey, 1st Baroness Wilton Unionist Tavistock Queen's Park and Maida Vale 21 (77.8%)
Thomas Carew, Viscount Sidmouth Unionist East Devon 20 (74.1%)
Frederick A. Carandini Wright Independent New Forest East 14 (51.9%)
August Carew-Grey, 1st Baron Calder Unionist County Clare 20 (74.1%)
Sir Patrick Maniar-Wright Unionist Belfast North 16 (59.3%)
Nicholas Burke Independent County Galway 16 (59.3%)
Noel de Carteret Unionist St Albans-Welwyn-Hatfield 12 (44.4%)
Llywellyn Evans-Jones Independent Preseli Pembrokeshire 17 (63.0%)
James Forsyte, 1st Duke of Warwick Unionist York Central 20 (74.1%)
Kathrine Grey, 1st Countess of Argyll Liberal-Progressive Na h-Eileanan an Iar 15 (55.6%)
Sir James Stephenson Independent Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe 16 (59.3%)
James R. Kennedy, 1st Baron Scarborough Liberal-Progressive Ashford North Yorkshire 12 (44.4%)
Georg Clark Unionist Stevenage 12 (44.4%)
Charles Wright, 1st Baron Huntingdon British Workers' Orkney and Shetland Aberavon 18 (66.7%)

Opinion Polling

Dates
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
UP BFL LPAP BWP Lead
28 May Lady Knightstone elected Leader of the Unionist Party, British Federation of Labour reformed
31 May - 6 June British Broacasting Coporation Google Forms 14 76% 47% - - 29
3 June - 5 June The Independent Google Forms 13 61.5% 15.4% - - 46.1
3 June - 5 June The Observer Google Forms 13 61.5% 15.4% - - 46.1
9 June The Liberal-Progressive Action Party formed, replacing the British Federation of Labour
17 June - 20 June The Independent Google Forms 13 38.5% - 15.4% - 23.1
28 June British Workers' Party reformed, Sir Charles Wright elected Leader
29 June - 30 June British Broacasting Coporation Google Forms 13 73% - 50% 54% 19

Seat Predictions

Parties The Observer
12 June 2024
The Daily Mail
15 June 2024
The Independent
20 June 2024
The BBC
30 June 2024
Unionist Party 6 7 7 5
Liberal-Progressive Action Party 0 1 2 1
British Workers' Party - - - 1
Independents 2 2 3 4
Overall result (probability) Unionist majority Unionist majority Unionist majority Unionist favoured

Results

Party Leader MPs Votes
Of total Of total
Unionist Party Lady Wilton 5 45.4%
5 / 11
121 52.8%
121 / 229
Liberal-Progressive Action Party Lady Argyll 1 9.09%
1 / 11
27 11.8%
27 / 229
British Workers' Party Lord Huntingdon 1 9.09%
1 / 11
18 7.9%
18 / 229
Independent 4 36.4%
4 / 11
63 27.5%
63 / 229

Footnotes

  1. [1] Representation of the People Act 2023, Standard Acts of Parliament, 21 December 2023.
  2. [2] "Dissolution of Parliament & Writ of Election", Osborne House, 26 June 2024
  3. [3] "33rd General Election Registration", Hustings, 27 June 2024
  4. [4] "33rd Parliament General Election Ballot", Polling Station, 30 June 2024
  5. [5] "33rd Parliament General Election Results", Polling Station, 1 July 2024
  6. [6] "May 2024 Election Results", Polling Station, 5 May 2024.
  7. [7] "August Carew-Grey Wins By-Election By Acclamation", Registration Office, 9 May 2024.
  8. [8] "Statement from Thomas Carew, Leader of the Unionist Party", Unionist Party, 28 May 2024.
  9. [9] "Statement from the Leader-Elect of the Unionist Party", Unionist Party, 28 May 2024.
  10. [10] "Press Release No.1", British Federation of Labour, 28 May 2024.
  11. [11] "Press Release No. 3", British Federation of Labour, 4 June 2024.
  12. [12] Kathrine Grey, 1st Countess of Argyll, #eogb-announcements, 8 June 2024.
  13. [13] "Out with the Old, In with the New", Liberal-Progressive Action Party, 9 June 2024.
  14. [14] "Neutrality of the Royal Style", Unionist Party, 9 June 2024
  15. [15] "A Statement from the Crown", Buckingham Palace Press Office, 9 June 2024
  16. [16] "Announcing the Proposed Ministers of the Crown", Unionist Party, 22 June 2024
  17. [17] "The Parliament Act", Organic Acts of Parliament, 29 December 2023
  18. [18] "Onto the General Election", Buckingham Palace Press Office, 17 June 2024
  19. [19] "33rd General Election Registration", Hustings, 27 June 2024
  20. [20] "General Election Platform for the Unionist Party", Hustings, 27 June 2024
  21. [21] "A Global Britain, Shining Bright: Liberal-Progressive Action Party Electoral Manifesto", Hustings, 27 June 2024
  22. [22] Charles Wright, re: Reforming the BWP, #strangers-gallery, 28 June 2024
  23. [23] "Charles Wright for MP: Prosperity for All", Hustings, 28 June 2024
  24. [24] "QHM: The Iron Lady Returns & King in Mexico", Queenstown Herald Monocle, 28 May 2024.
  25. [25] "Interview with the Party Leader of the BFL", BBC Parliament, 29 May 2024.
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